State-Level Projections
This page visualizes published state-level projections of what a large ICE surge arresting 1% of immigrant men considered most at risk would mean for arrests and employment.
Decline in employment of U.S.-born men
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Map based on data from ICE Arrests Result in a Decline in Employment: State-Level Projections (Immigration Research Initiative, July 27, 2026) by Chloe East, Elizabeth Cox and David Dyssegaard Kallick.