Direct effects
When ICE arrests someone, this often removes a worker from the community.
This website discusses the state of knowledge on the economic impacts of ICE activity in the second Trump administration. It provides a guide to understanding the effects as measured in 'Labor Market Impacts of ICE Activity in Trump 2.0' as well as summaries of and links to other related research.
likely undocumented immigrant men stop working
U.S.-born men stop working
Why does ICE activity affect workers and the broader labor market?
When ICE arrests someone, this often removes a worker from the community.
Chilling effects. ICE activity causes immigrants who remain in the country to feel fearful about participating in their usual activities — including going to work — because they’re worried they could have an interaction with ICE. This leads other immigrants to reduce their work in response to ICE.
Complements, not substitutes. Unauthorized immigrant workers are complementary to U.S.-born workers: having immigrants in the workplace supports U.S. jobs rather than competing with them.
Unauthorized immigrant workers tend to work in different occupations than U.S.-born workers. Some common examples in the U.S.:
Enforcement reduces local demand.
The present activity from DHS appears to be no different from previous time periods of mass deportations, all of which had negative economic effects.